Base rates
Grant rates over decided requests, per tranche. A rate is published only where at least
20 requests were decided; below that the counts are shown and the rate is
withheld rather than presented as signal.
By tranche
| Tranche | Action | Filed via | Requests | Granted | Grant rate |
|---|
| List 1 | $34B action (July 6, 2018) |
regulations.gov | 10,814 | 3,656 |
33.8% (95% CI 32.9–34.7%, n=10,814) |
| List 2 | $16B action (August 23, 2018) |
regulations.gov | 2,869 | 1,074 |
37.4% (95% CI 35.7–39.2%, n=2,869) |
| List 3 | $200B action (September 24, 2018) |
exclusions.ustr.gov | 30,283 | 1,497 |
4.9% (95% CI 4.7–5.2%, n=30,283) |
| List 4A | $300B action (September 1, 2019) |
exclusions.ustr.gov | 8,780 | 575 |
6.5% (95% CI 6.1–7.1%, n=8,780) |
By end-use class, within tranche
End-use classification is the Broad Economic Categories (BEC) class carried in the source dataset —
whether the product is a capital good, an intermediate input, or a consumption good. It is reported as
published; nothing is inferred where the source leaves it blank.
List 1 — $34B action (July 6, 2018)
| End-use class | Requests | Granted | Denied | Grant rate |
|---|
| Intermediate | 6,359 |
1,756 | 4,603 |
27.6% (95% CI 26.5–28.7%, n=6,359) |
| Capital | 4,403 |
1,880 | 2,523 |
42.7% (95% CI 41.2–44.2%, n=4,403) |
| Consumption | 37 |
19 | 18 |
51.4% (95% CI 35.9–66.6%, n=37) |
| Unspecified | 15 |
1 | 14 |
n too small |
List 2 — $16B action (August 23, 2018)
| End-use class | Requests | Granted | Denied | Grant rate |
|---|
| Capital | 1,425 |
442 | 983 |
31% (95% CI 28.7–33.5%, n=1,425) |
| Intermediate | 1,293 |
619 | 674 |
47.9% (95% CI 45.2–50.6%, n=1,293) |
| Unspecified | 100 |
1 | 99 |
1% (95% CI 0.2–5.4%, n=100) |
| Consumption | 51 |
12 | 39 |
23.5% (95% CI 14–36.8%, n=51) |
List 3 — $200B action (September 24, 2018)
| End-use class | Requests | Granted | Denied | Grant rate |
|---|
| Intermediate | 22,727 |
910 | 21,817 |
4% (95% CI 3.8–4.3%, n=22,727) |
| Consumption | 4,140 |
299 | 3,841 |
7.2% (95% CI 6.5–8.1%, n=4,140) |
| Capital | 3,402 |
287 | 3,115 |
8.4% (95% CI 7.5–9.4%, n=3,402) |
| Multiple | 14 |
1 | 13 |
n too small |
List 4A — $300B action (September 1, 2019)
| End-use class | Requests | Granted | Denied | Grant rate |
|---|
| Consumption | 5,016 |
322 | 4,694 |
6.4% (95% CI 5.8–7.1%, n=5,016) |
| Intermediate | 2,328 |
223 | 2,105 |
9.6% (95% CI 8.4–10.8%, n=2,328) |
| Capital | 1,422 |
30 | 1,392 |
2.1% (95% CI 1.5–3%, n=1,422) |
| Unspecified | 14 |
0 | 14 |
n too small |
Do not read across the tranche tables. "Capital goods did better in List 1 than in
List 3" conflates the product class with the process change described on the
Landscape. The tranches are shown separately for that reason.
Downloads
The computed tables, as CSV: